Mariia Tkacheva vs Aleksandra Khomitskaya — W15 Astana 5 Round of 32
W15 Astana 5 · ITF · Round of 32
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
Tkacheva M.6-2 6-0
Khomitskaya A.
Tkacheva M.
662
Khomitskaya A.
200
Mariia Tkacheva defeated Aleksandra Khomitskaya in the Round of 32 at the W15 Astana 5 tournament, winning in straight sets 6-2, 6-0 on hard courts. The victory advanced Tkacheva to the next round of the competition.
Key context
- Match story: Mariia Tkacheva handed Aleksandra Khomitskaya a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.2
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCTkacheva M.86%
Khomitskaya A.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Tkacheva M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%