Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim MrvaTodi Round of 16

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#217ATP
1563ELO
1532Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-3 4-6 4-6
Mrva M.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6441
Mrva M.
3662

Maxim Mrva defeated Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Round of 16 at the Todi tournament on clay, winning 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Mrva hit 3 aces and 7 double faults, while Sanchez Izquierdo had 2 aces and 4 double faults. Mrva converted 67% of break points and Sanchez Izquierdo converted 33%, with both players earning 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sanchez Izquierdo N.51%
Mrva M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+85 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1447
5.8Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1500
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
64

Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Mrva M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CShowers
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw