Solana Sierra vs Aoi ItoCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#86WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#289WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Sierra S.
1-6 1-6
Ito A.
Sierra S.
110
Ito A.
662

Aoi Ito defeated Solana Sierra 6-1, 6-1 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Ito did not hit an ace but made two double faults, while Sierra also had no aces and five double faults. Ito converted all five of her break points and won 77 percent of her first-serve points to secure the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Sierra S.52%
Ito A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1568
7.9Overall Elo 1783
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Sierra S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Ito A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CRain
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw