Bogdan Pavel vs Rodrigo FernandesM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 32

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 32
#516ATP
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#1258ATP
19 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLW
Pavel B.
6-4 6-4
Fernandes R.
Pavel B.
662
Fernandes R.
440

Bogdan Pavel defeated Rodrigo Fernandes 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova hard court tournament. Pavel converted 42% of his break points and secured five service breaks, while Fernandes converted 33% of his break points and secured three service breaks. The match saw Pavel record 2 aces and 4 double faults, compared to Fernandes' 5 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Bogdan Pavel edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
52%
1st serve points won·
73%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
40%
Break points saved·
49%
Aces / match·
3.3
Double faults / match·
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Pavel B.71%
Fernandes R.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pavel B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw