Maxwell Exsted vs Nicolas Villalon — M15 Asuncion Round of 16
M15 Asuncion · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
CHI3#703ATP
1135ELO
1128Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWL
Exsted M.4-6 6-1 6-2
Villalon N.
Exsted M.
4662
Villalon N.
6121
Nicolas Villalon advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Asuncion tournament with a three-set win over Maxwell Exsted in the Round of 16. Villalon took the match 4-6, 6-1, 6-2.
Key context
- Match story: Maxwell Exsted dropped the opening set before beating Nicolas Villalon 4–6 6–1 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
62%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCExsted M.60%
Villalon N.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Exsted M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%