Alexei Popyrin vs Titouan DroguetCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#128ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#111ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Popyrin A.
6-7 1-6
Droguet T.
Popyrin A.
6210
Droguet T.
7762

Titouan Droguet defeated Alexei Popyrin 7-6, 6-1 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Droguet hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, winning 84% of his first-serve points and converting 57% of his break points. He won 4 service breaks to Popyrin's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Titouan Droguet came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.2
8.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
88
Break points won·Clear edge
1
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
93
Tiebreaks·Even
88
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Popyrin A.53%
Droguet T.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1650
5.3Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1717
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
72

Popyrin A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CFog
Wind 38 km/hHumidity 97%

Draw