Maria Kalyakina vs Eva Marie DesvignesW15 Tianjin 2 Round of 32

W15 Tianjin 2 · ITF · Round of 32
#577WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#939WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLLLL
Kalyakina M.
6-2 2-6 4-6
Marie Desvignes E.
Kalyakina M.
6241
Marie Desvignes E.
2662

Eva Marie Desvignes defeated Maria Kalyakina in the Round of 32 at the W15 Tianjin 2 tournament, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-2, 6-4. Desvignes hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 67% of her break points and winning 53% of her first serves. Kalyakina had 3 aces and 2 double faults, converting 38% of her break points and winning 55% of her first serves.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-25W15 Maanshan 3R16hardEva Marie Desvignes6-3 4-6 0-6
2025-06-25W15 Hong Kong 1R32hardMaria Kalyakina6-2 4-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Kalyakina M.73%
Marie Desvignes E.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalyakina M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw