Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo DellienCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#141ATP
1637ELO
1486Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
Shimabukuro S.
6-3 6-1
Dellien H.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Dellien H.
310

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Hugo Dellien 6-3, 6-1 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Shimabukuro and Dellien each hit 3 aces, with Shimabukuro committing 2 double faults to Dellien's 5. Shimabukuro won 59% of his first serves and converted 50% of his break points, securing 5 service breaks to Dellien's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
21
Break points saved·Even
70
69
Break points won·Even
3
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
2
66
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
7
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Shimabukuro S.71%
Dellien H.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shimabukuro S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1486
5.4Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1637
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.7Won 61% in Usa (23)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
95

Shimabukuro S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Dellien H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw