Marco Cecchinato vs Francesco FortiTodi Round of 16

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#363ATP
1399ELO
1372Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Cecchinato M.
6-1 6-3
Forti F.
Cecchinato M.
662
Forti F.
130

Marco Cecchinato advanced to the quarterfinals at the Todi tournament, defeating Francesco Forti in the Round of 16. Cecchinato won in straight sets, 6-1, 6-3. He converted 40% of his break points and secured four service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
31
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
67
Break points won·Slight edge
13
2
Deciding sets·Slight edge
59
50
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.56%
Forti F.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+175 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1372
7.2Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1399
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
88

Cecchinato M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Forti F.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
38°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw