Luca Castagnola vs Bruno Fernandez — M15 Trier Round of 32

M15 Trier · ITF · Round of 32
ITA
Luca Castagnola
#799ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
clay
BRA7
Bruno Fernandez
#651ATP
1149ELO
1139Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
Castagnola L.
2-6 4-6
Fernandez B.
Castagnola L.
240
Fernandez B.
662

Bruno Fernandez defeated Luca Castagnola 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Trier tournament on clay. Fernandez converted 60% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Castagnola failed to capitalize on any break point opportunities. Fernandez also committed one double fault compared to Castagnola's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Castagnola L.Fernandez B.
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Castagnola L.61%
Fernandez B.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Castagnola L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Castagnola L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Fernandez B.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Castagnola L.Fernandez B.
Freshness·
100
—

Castagnola L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw