Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs S. CaldwellM25 East Lansing Round of 32

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 32
#838ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
S. Caldwell
#2255ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLL
Alvarez Valdes L.
6-3 6-3
Caldwell S.
Alvarez Valdes L.
662
Caldwell S.
330

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes defeated Simon Caldwell 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the M25 East Lansing tournament. Alvarez Valdes hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Caldwell hit 2 aces and 3 double faults. Alvarez Valdes won 70% of first-serve points and converted 55% of break points, breaking Caldwell's serve 6 times to Caldwell's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
54%
1st serve points won·
69%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
34%
Break points saved·
77%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Alvarez Valdes L.76%
Caldwell S.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alvarez Valdes L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Caldwell S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.52 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 62% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw