Francisco Rocha vs Tiago CacaoM25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 32

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 32
#817ATP
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#676ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Rocha F.
6-7 3-6
Cacao T.
Rocha F.
630
Cacao T.
762

Tiago Cacao defeated Francisco Rocha in the Round of 32 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Cacao. Cacao converted 57% of his break points and won four service breaks to Rocha's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Tiago Cacao closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-17M15 Castelo BrancoQFhardTiago Cacao4-6 7-6(8) 2-6
2019-07-16M15 Castelo Branco 1R32hardTiago Cacao6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
56%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Rocha F.37%
Cacao T.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cacao T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw