Yassine Smiej vs Preston BrownM15 Warsaw Round of 32

M15 Warsaw · ITF · Round of 32
#1243ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#1065ATP
24 yrs · 198 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Smiej Y.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Brown P.
Smiej Y.
6562
Brown P.
4741

Preston Brown defeated Yassine Smiej in the Round of 32 at the M15 Warsaw tournament. Brown won the match 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, despite being broken five times, as he converted four of his own break points. Brown hit eight aces and committed one double fault in the hard-court match.

Key context

  • Match story: Yassine Smiej edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
59%
71%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
30%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
32%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Smiej Y.78%
Brown P.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Smiej Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw