J. Lassila vs Andrea Bacaloni — M15 Turku Round of 16
M15 Turku · ITF · Round of 16
FINWCJ. Lassila
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
Lassila J.4-6 2-6
Bacaloni A.
Lassila J.
420
Bacaloni A.
662
Andrea Bacaloni defeated J. Lassila 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Turku tournament. Bacaloni converted 60% of his break points and won 77% of his first serves, while also securing 6 service breaks compared to Lassila's 3. Bacaloni committed 4 double faults to Lassila's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Andrea Bacaloni dropped just 6 games past J. Lassila.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonLassila J.Bacaloni A.
1st serve in·
—
69%
1st serve points won·
—
67%
2nd serve points won·
—
50%
Service points won·
—
62%
Return points won·
—
38%
Break points saved·
—
67%
Aces / match·
—
2.0
Double faults / match·
—
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCLassila J.30%
Bacaloni A.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Bacaloni A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchLassila J.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 53%