Naiktha Bains vs Emily AppletonW35 Aldershot 2 Round of 16

W35 Aldershot 2 · ITF · Round of 16
#373WTA
1354ELO
1349Hard ELO
28 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#505WTA
1278ELO
1230Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Bains N.
4-6 6-2 0-6
Appleton E.
Bains N.
4601
Appleton E.
6262

Emily Appleton defeated Naiktha Bains in the Round of 16 at the W35 Aldershot 2 tournament, winning 6-4, 2-6, 6-0 on hard courts. Appleton and Bains were even in aces, with two each, and also had equal numbers of double faults, with Appleton committing six and Bains three. Appleton won 69% of her first-serve points to Bains' 60%, and converted 50% of her break points to Bains' 80%, as Appleton secured 6 service breaks to Bains' 4.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-10W35 Nottingham 2SFhardNaiktha Bains6-3 4-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bains N.58%
Appleton E.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bains N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1230
5.9Overall Elo 1354
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1278
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw