R. Andres vs Arvid NordquistM15 Turku Round of 16

M15 Turku · ITF · Round of 16
FRAQ
R. Andres
#2297ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#849ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Andres R.
2-6 2-6
Nordquist A.
Andres R.
220
Nordquist A.
662

Arvid Nordquist defeated R. Andres 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Turku tournament. Nordquist did not hit an ace but converted 50% of break points, while Andres hit two aces and committed five double faults. Nordquist won 81% of first-serve points and broke Andres' serve four times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Andres R.37%
Nordquist A.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nordquist A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Andres R.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw