D. A. Amarandei vs Ammar ElaminM15 Warsaw Round of 32

M15 Warsaw · ITF · Round of 32
#1866ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
#1421ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWL
Amarandei D.
6-4 3-6 2-6
Elamin A.
Amarandei D.
6321
Elamin A.
4662

Ammar Elamin defeated D. A. Amarandei in the Round of 32 of the M15 Warsaw tournament on hard courts. Elamin won 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. Elamin converted 75% of his break points, compared to 9% for Amarandei.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
46%
29%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Amarandei D.28%
Elamin A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Elamin A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw