Beibit Zhukayev vs Mert Alkaya — Astana Round of 16
Zhukayev B.
Mert Alkaya defeated Beibit Zhukayev 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Astana tournament. Alkaya hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, winning 69% of his first serves and converting all 3 of his break points. Zhukayev had 3 aces and 3 double faults, winning 64% of his first serves and converting 1 of 6 break points.
Around the match
Zhukayev returns to competition after a long injury layoff with a strong first-round victory.
Zhukayev B.Qazinform ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Mert Alkaya closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadZhukayev B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Alkaya M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About