Hanne Vandewinkel vs Akasha UrhoboCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#82WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#180WTA
1592ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
Vandewinkel H.
7-5 6-4
Urhobo A.
Vandewinkel H.
762
Urhobo A.
540

Hanne Vandewinkel defeated Akasha Urhobo 7-5, 6-4 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Vandewinkel and Urhobo were even in aces and double faults, but Vandewinkel won 76% of her first serves to Urhobo's 58%. Vandewinkel converted 56% of her break points and won five service breaks to Urhobo's three.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-20W50 Santo Domingo 1R16hardHanne Vandewinkel3-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Vandewinkel H.67%
Urhobo A.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vandewinkel H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+282 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1448
6.2Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1592
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in Usa (135)
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Vandewinkel H.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d) · Urhobo A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw