Lilli Tagger vs Lin ZhuCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#48WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#177WTA
1674ELO
1647Hard ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Tagger L.
3-6 6-1 6-1
Zhu L.
Tagger L.
3662
Zhu L.
6111

Lilli Tagger defeated Lin Zhu in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-1, 6-1. Tagger hit 12 aces to Zhu's 1 and won 72% of her first-serve points, compared to Zhu's 44%. Tagger converted 30% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Zhu's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Tagger L.57%
Zhu L.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1647
5.1Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.19 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
93

Tagger L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Zhu L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw