Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas RuizCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#89ATP
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#130ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLWWL
Shevchenko A.
6-3 6-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Shevchenko A.
662
Llamas Ruiz P.
340

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the qualifying round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Shevchenko won the match 6-3, 6-4. He served 10 aces to Llamas Ruiz's one and converted two of six break points to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
61
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
88
Break points won·Clear edge
27
39
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Shevchenko A.52%
Llamas Ruiz P.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1630
3.9Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
81

Shevchenko A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: played today · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw