D. Tremblay vs Samuel RovaiM15 Malmo Q16

M15 Malmo · ITF · Q16
#1711ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
SWE
Samuel Rovai
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Tremblay D.
6-2 6-3
Rovai S.
Tremblay D.
662
Rovai S.
230

D. Tremblay defeated Samuel Rovai 6-2, 6-3 in the qualifying round 1 of the M15 Malmo tournament. Tremblay served 2 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Rovai served 2 aces and committed 3 double faults. Tremblay converted 42% of break points and broke Rovai's serve 5 times, compared to Rovai's 1 service break and 33% break point conversion.

Key context

  • Match story: D. Tremblay dropped just 5 games past Samuel Rovai.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tremblay D.Rovai S.
1st serve in·Even
69%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Tremblay D.62%
Rovai S.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tremblay D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Rovai S.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw