Mathieu Scaglia vs Ander Tarrio Ponte — M25 Idanha-A-Nova Round of 32

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Round of 32
FRA
Mathieu Scaglia
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
ESP
Ander Tarrio Ponte
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWL
Scaglia M.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Tarrio Ponte A.
Scaglia M.
64662
Tarrio Ponte A.
77341

Mathieu Scaglia defeated A. Tarrio Ponte in the Round of 32 at the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament. Scaglia won 6-7, 6-3, 6-4. He converted 44% of break points and made 5 double faults in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Mathieu Scaglia dropped the opening set before beating Ander Tarrio Ponte 6–7 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Scaglia M.Tarrio Ponte A.
1st serve in·
57%
—
1st serve points won·
77%
—
2nd serve points won·
52%
—
Service points won·
66%
—
Return points won·
41%
—
Break points saved·
73%
—
Aces / match·
5.7
—
Double faults / match·
4.0
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Scaglia M.62%
Tarrio Ponte A.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Scaglia M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Scaglia M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tarrio Ponte A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw