Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Trevor SvajdaCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#92ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Mpetshi Perricard G.
1-6 6-1 2-6
Svajda T.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
1621
Svajda T.
6162

Trevor Svajda defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-1, 1-6, 6-2 in the qualifying second round of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Svajda converted 57% of his break points and won 79% of his first-serve points to secure the win. He broke Mpetshi Perricard's serve four times, while Mpetshi Perricard converted two service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Trevor Svajda closed it out in three sets, 6–1 1–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
Return points won·Clear edge
27%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
18.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mpetshi Perricard G.72%
Svajda T.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mpetshi Perricard G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+221 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1450
8.2Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1485
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.4Won 73% in Usa (56)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
82

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw