C. O'Connell vs Dane SweenyCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#124ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
O'Connell C.
6-7 6-2 7-5
Sweeny D.
O'Connell C.
63672
Sweeny D.
77251

Chris O'Connell defeated Dane Sweeny in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 in favor of O'Connell.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-03-28M15 Mornington 2R16clayC. O'Connell7-6(3) 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
45
Break points saved·Dominant
96
69
Break points won·Slight edge
3
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
O'Connell C.47%
Sweeny D.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (39)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
90

O'Connell C.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d) · Sweeny D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw