Axel Nefve vs Alexander PetrovM25 East Lansing Q16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Q16
#1007ATP
26 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#1627ATP
24 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Nefve A.
6-1 6-2
Petrov A.
Nefve A.
662
Petrov A.
120

Axel Nefve defeated Alexander Petrov 6-1, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the M25 East Lansing tournament. Nefve served with 0 aces and 4 double faults, while Petrov had 2 aces and 6 double faults. Nefve converted 55% of his break points and won 88% of his first-serve points, ultimately securing 6 service breaks to Petrov's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
53%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
42%
61%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
44%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Nefve A.51%
Petrov A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 53% in Usa (105)
Country comfort
5.6Won 60% in Usa (86)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw