Matilde Mariani vs Ioana Maria SandruW15 Bucharest 3 Q16

W15 Bucharest 3 · ITF · Q16
#961WTA
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL
Mariani M.
6-1 6-2
Maria Sandru I.
Mariani M.
662
Maria Sandru I.
120

Matilde Mariani defeated Ioana Maria Sandru 6-1, 6-2 in the qualifying round 1 of the W15 Bucharest 3 clay court tournament. Mariani hit one ace and three double faults, winning 75 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. She broke Sandru's serve five times en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
53%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
30%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
42%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Mariani M.60%
Maria Sandru I.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mariani M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw