Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej NedicHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#594ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
M5 · 2nd on
#250ATP
1515ELO
1506Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWL
Kirkin E.
6-3 4-6 4-6
Nedic A.
Kirkin E.
6441
Nedic A.
3662

Andrej Nedic advanced to the next round of the Hamburg tournament with a victory over Ergi Kirkin in the Round of 32. Nedic won the match in three sets, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Kirkin E.28%
Nedic A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nedic A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
84

Kirkin E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Nedic A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw