Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Mananchaya SawangkaewCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#125WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#105WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
3-6 3-6
Sawangkaew M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
330
Sawangkaew M.
662

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-3, 6-3 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Sawangkaew served 0 aces and 6 double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. She broke Jimenez Kasintseva's serve 4 times, compared to 1 service break for Jimenez Kasintseva.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
74
Break points won·Even
88
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
97
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Jimenez Kasintseva V.27%
Sawangkaew M.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sawangkaew M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1579
Surface ELO
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (27)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
79

Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Sawangkaew M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw