Lanlana Tararudee vs Emerson JonesCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#79WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#131WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLL
Tararudee L.
7-5 7-5
Jones E.
Tararudee L.
772
Jones E.
550

Lanlana Tararudee defeated Emerson Jones 7-5, 7-5 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Tararudee and Jones were even in aces and double faults, but Tararudee won more points on her first serve and converted more break points. Tararudee won 7 service breaks to Jones' 5.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-03TorontoR128hardLanlana Tararudee6-7(2) 2-6
2024-02-28W35 Traralgon 2R32hardLanlana Tararudee7-5 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Tararudee L.61%
Jones E.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tararudee L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1664
5.1Overall Elo 1678
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1671
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
94

Tararudee L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Jones E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw