Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal — Hamburg Round of 32
Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
M3 · 4th on
IND7#239ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWL
Houkes M.7-5 6-2
Nagal S.
Houkes M.
762
Nagal S.
520
Max Houkes defeated Sumit Nagal in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Houkes.
Key context
- Match story: Max Houkes closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCHoukes M.52%
Nagal S.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1444
Surface ELO6.2+94 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap6.0Overall Elo 1543
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 48%