M. Van Der Meerschen vs Michael GeertsM25 Koksijde Round of 32

M25 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32
#702ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#348ATP
1400ELO
1348Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
Van Der Meerschen M.
3-6 2-6
Geerts M.
Van Der Meerschen M.
320
Geerts M.
662

Michael Geerts defeated M. Van Der Meerschen 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Koksijde tournament. Geerts hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 76% of his first serves and converting 56% of break points. He secured 5 service breaks to Van Der Meerschen's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Van Der Meerschen M.35%
Geerts M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Geerts M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Geerts M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw