Bastian Malla vs Lorenzo GagliardoM15 Asuncion Round of 32

M15 Asuncion · ITF · Round of 32
#896ATP
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#910ATP
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLW
Malla B.
1-6 3-6
Gagliardo L.
Malla B.
130
Gagliardo L.
662

Lorenzo Gagliardo defeated Bastian Malla 6-1, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Asuncion tournament. Gagliardo did not hit an ace but converted 67% of break points, securing four service breaks. Malla hit one ace and did not convert any break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
74%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
67%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
33%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Malla B.85%
Gagliardo L.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Malla B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw