Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils — Montreal Quarter-final

Montreal · ATP · Quarter-final
Rafael Jodar
ESP20
Rafael Jodar
#11ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Arthur Fils
FRA18
Arthur Fils
#21ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
Jodar R.
7-6 6-3
Fils A.
Jodar R.
762
Fils A.
630

Rafael Jodar defeated Arthur Fils in the quarterfinals of the Montreal tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Jodar hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 33% of break points and securing 4 service breaks. Fils recorded 7 aces and 1 double fault, converting 50% of break points and securing 2 service breaks.

Around the match

  • Fils recovered from a hip and back injury sustained in his previous loss to Jodar and has recorded consecutive wins in Montreal.

    Fils A.New York Post ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-28WashingtonR32hardRafael Jodar6-7(5) 3-6
2026-04-13BarcelonaSFclayArthur Fils3-6 6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Fils A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Fils A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Clear edge
71
54
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Jodar R.37%
Fils A.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fils A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Fils A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1873
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 2001
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Fils A.
Freshness·Even
60
57

Jodar R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Fils A.: played today · 4 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw