Ethan Muza vs Nikita Filin — M25 East Lansing Q16

M25 East Lansing · ITF · Q16
USA
Ethan Muza
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
USA
Nikita Filin
#1462ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWL
Muza E.
6-3 6-3
Filin N.
Muza E.
662
Filin N.
330

Nikita Filin defeated Ethan Muza in the M25 East Lansing qualifying round 16. Filin won despite losing the first two sets 3-6, 3-6. Filin's key stats included 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Muza had 0 aces and 5 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Nikita Filin closed it out in two sets, 3–6 3–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Muza E.37%
Filin N.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Filin N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Muza E.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Filin N.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.3Won 39% in Usa (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw