Mary Stoiana vs Veronika ErjavecCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · WTA · Q64
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#109WTA
1629ELO
1524Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLL
Stoiana M.
6-2 7-6
Erjavec V.
Stoiana M.
672
Erjavec V.
260

Mary Stoiana defeated Veronika Erjavec 6-2, 7-6 in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Stoiana served 2 aces and 4 double faults, winning 69% of her first serves and converting 71% of her break points. Erjavec had 1 ace and 2 double faults, winning 45% of her first serves and converting 100% of her break points; she had 3 service breaks to Stoiana's 5.

Key context

  • Match story: Mary Stoiana closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Stoiana M.54%
Erjavec V.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1524
5.3Overall Elo 1656
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Won 66% in Usa (91)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
95

Stoiana M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Erjavec V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw