Denis Yevseyev vs Matej Dodig — Hamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Denis Yevseyev
KAZQ
Denis Yevseyev
#444ATP
1375ELO
1341Clay ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
CRO
Matej Dodig
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Yevseyev D.
3-6 1-6
Dodig M.
Yevseyev D.
310
Dodig M.
662

Matej Dodig defeated Denis Yevseyev in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-1 in favor of Dodig.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Yevseyev D.Dodig M.
1st serve in·Even
69%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Yevseyev D.Dodig M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
33
Break points saved·Dominant
15
76
Break points won·Clear edge
21
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
27
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Yevseyev D.26%
Dodig M.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dodig M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yevseyev D.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dodig M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1341
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1461
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Yevseyev D.Dodig M.
Freshness·Even
91
88

Yevseyev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Dodig M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw