Andrea Paolini vs Yannick CastelnuovoM15 Targu Jiu Q16

M15 Targu Jiu · ITF · Q16
#1674ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
SUI
Yannick Castelnuovo
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWWLL
Paolini A.
6-0 6-1
Castelnuovo Y.
Paolini A.
662
Castelnuovo Y.
010

Andrea Paolini defeated Yannick Castelnuovo 6-0, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Targu Jiu tournament on clay. Paolini did not hit an ace but did not commit a double fault, winning 76 percent of his first serves. He converted 86 percent of his break points and broke Castelnuovo's serve six times.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrea Paolini handed Yannick Castelnuovo a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Paolini A.Castelnuovo Y.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
36%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Paolini A.75%
Castelnuovo Y.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paolini A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Castelnuovo Y.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw