Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin BonziCincinnati Q64

Cincinnati · ATP · Q64
#146ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
hard
#100ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
Lajovic D.
2-6 7-6 7-6
Bonzi B.
Lajovic D.
27772
Bonzi B.
66261

Dusan Lajovic defeated Benjamin Bonzi in the qualifying round 64 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Lajovic won in three sets, 2-6, 7-6, 7-6. Lajovic served 7 aces and committed 5 double faults, converting 14% of break points, while Bonzi had 11 aces, 5 double faults, and converted 43% of break points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardDusan Lajovic7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Even
18
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
6
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
66
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Lajovic D.31%
Bonzi B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bonzi B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1558
Surface ELO
6.9+154 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1749
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
90

Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Bonzi B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw