Matthew William Donald vs Lorenzo BocchiM25 Muttenz Round of 32

M25 Muttenz · ITF · Round of 32
#461ATP
21 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#610ATP
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
William Donald M.
6-2 6-4
Bocchi L.
William Donald M.
662
Bocchi L.
240

Matthew William Donald defeated Lorenzo Bocchi 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Muttenz tournament on clay. Donald hit one ace and three double faults, while winning 71 percent of his first-serve points and converting 71 percent of his break points. He won five service breaks to Bocchi's two.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-21M15 Store 1R32clayLorenzo Bocchi6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
54%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
William Donald M.59%
Bocchi L.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · William Donald M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
76

William Donald M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Bocchi L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw