Antonia Vergara Rivera vs Darya AstakhovaW75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Round of 32

W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 · ITF · Round of 32
#350WTA
1351ELO
1338Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#231WTA
1511ELO
1505Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Vergara Rivera A.
3-6 3-6
Astakhova D.
Vergara Rivera A.
330
Astakhova D.
662

Darya Astakhova defeated Antonia Vergara Rivera in the Round of 32 at the W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 clay court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Astakhova hit 7 double faults and converted 75% of her break points, while Vergara Rivera had 1 double fault and also converted 75% of her break points. Astakhova won 70% of her first-serve points and took 6 service breaks to Vergara Rivera's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
51%
50%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Vergara Rivera A.26%
Astakhova D.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Astakhova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1338
Surface ELO
7.1+167 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1351
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1511
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw