Amaury Raynel vs Michael AgwiM15 Trier Round of 32

M15 Trier · ITF · Round of 32
#900ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 ·
clay
#788ATP
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWL
Raynel A.
6-7 1-6
Agwi M.
Raynel A.
6410
Agwi M.
7762

Michael Agwi defeated Amaury Raynel 7-6, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Trier tournament on clay. Agwi served 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 70 percent of his first serves, while Raynel served 1 ace and 2 double faults, winning 55 percent of his first serves. Agwi converted 50 percent of his break points and broke Raynel's serve 4 times, while Raynel converted 100 percent of his break points and broke Agwi's serve twice.

Key context

  • Match story: Michael Agwi came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-11M25 Creteil 1R32hardAmaury Raynel6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
22%
35%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
11.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Raynel A.25%
Agwi M.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Agwi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.03 of last 8 on clay
Surface form
5.43 of last 6 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw