Colin Sinclair vs D. ZhalgasbayAstana Q16

Astana · CHALLENGER · Q16
#509ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
KAZWC
D. Zhalgasbay
#1527ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Sinclair C.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Zhalgasbay D.
Sinclair C.
6562
Zhalgasbay D.
4741

Colin Sinclair defeated D. Zhalgasbay 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 in the Astana hard-court tournament's round of 16. Sinclair hit 18 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 67% of his break points and winning 84% of first-serve points. Sinclair secured 2 service breaks to Zhalgasbay's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Colin Sinclair edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sinclair C.Zhalgasbay D.
1st serve in·
65%
1st serve points won·
72%
2nd serve points won·
62%
Service points won·
68%
Return points won·
31%
Break points saved·
61%
Aces / match·
7.7
Double faults / match·
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Sinclair C.57%
Zhalgasbay D.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Zhalgasbay D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinclair C.Zhalgasbay D.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
91

Sinclair C.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zhalgasbay D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw