Koki Matsuda vs Hayato MatsuokaAstana Round of 32

Astana · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#451ATP
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#314ATP
1361ELO
1332Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Matsuda K.
3-6 4-6
Matsuoka H.
Matsuda K.
340
Matsuoka H.
662

Hayato Matsuoka defeated Koki Matsuda in the Round of 32 at the Astana tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Matsuoka hit 6 aces to Matsuda's 2 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Matsuda's 33%. Matsuoka won 3 service breaks to Matsuda's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Matsuda K.43%
Matsuoka H.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
57

Matsuda K.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Matsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 21%

Draw