Gianmarco Ferrari vs Mykyta MashtakovTodi Q16

Todi · CHALLENGER · Q16
#465ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 1st on
#663ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Ferrari G.
2-6 7-6 0-6
Mashtakov M.
Ferrari G.
2701
Mashtakov M.
6662

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Gianmarco Ferrari 6-2, 6-7, 6-0 in the quarterfinals of the Todi tournament on clay. Mashtakov hit 7 aces and 1 double fault, winning 71 percent of his first serves and converting 33 percent of break points. He won 6 service breaks to Ferrari's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Clear edge
35%
49%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Ferrari G.57%
Mashtakov M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.72 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
91

Ferrari G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mashtakov M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw