Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller — Hamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ROU
Cezar Cretu
#266ATP
1524ELO
1492Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Marvin Moeller
GERALT
Marvin Moeller
#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Cretu C.
1-6 7-5 4-6
Moeller M.
Cretu C.
1741
Moeller M.
6562

Marvin Moeller defeated Cezar Cretu in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 in Moeller's favor. Moeller advanced with the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Marvin Moeller came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Cretu C.Moeller M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cretu C.Moeller M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
33
43
Break points won·Clear edge
64
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
73
Tiebreaks·
—
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Cretu C.60%
Moeller M.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cretu C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cretu C.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Moeller M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1383
6.6Overall Elo 1524
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1396
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cretu C.Moeller M.
Freshness·Clear edge
74
53

Cretu C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw