Marco Cecchinato vs Nick HardtTodi Round of 32

Todi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 5th on
#277ATP
1473ELO
1460Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Cecchinato M.
6-3 7-5
Hardt N.
Cecchinato M.
672
Hardt N.
350

Marco Cecchinato defeated Nick Hardt in the Round of 32 at the Todi tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-5 in Cecchinato's favor. Cecchinato hit 6 aces and converted 62% of break points, while Hardt converted 60%, in the 32-player event.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
26
Break points saved·Dominant
79
33
Break points won·Clear edge
13
32
Deciding sets·Even
59
55
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.60%
Hardt N.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cecchinato M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1460
6.3Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1473
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
86

Cecchinato M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Hardt N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
36°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw