Tristan Boyer vs Aidan Mayo — Brownsburg Q16

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Q16
Tristan Boyer
USA1
Tristan Boyer
#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 1st on
USAQ
Aidan Mayo
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Boyer T.
2-6 2-6
Mayo A.
Boyer T.
220
Mayo A.
662

Aidan Mayo defeated Tristan Boyer 6-2, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament. Mayo and Boyer were even in aces (3) and double faults (Mayo 2, Boyer 0). Mayo won 80% of his first serves and converted 56% of break points, while Boyer converted 53% of first serves and 33% of break points; Mayo secured 5 service breaks to Boyer's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Boyer T.Mayo A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Boyer T.Mayo A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
68
Break points won·Clear edge
20
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Boyer T.64%
Mayo A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Boyer T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Boyer T.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mayo A.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1359
7.3Overall Elo 1561
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1380
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
4.9Won 49% in Usa (55)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Boyer T.Mayo A.
Freshness·Even
77
75

Boyer T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Mayo A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw