Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic — Toronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
Alexandra Eala
PHI25
Alexandra Eala
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
Belinda Bencic
SUI12
Belinda Bencic
#12WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
Eala A.
4-6 0-6
Bencic B.
Eala A.
400
Bencic B.
662

Belinda Bencic advanced to the quarterfinals of the Toronto tournament with a 6-4, 6-0 victory over Alexandra Eala in the Round of 16. Bencic converted 60% of her break points and won 72% of her first-serve points, compared to Eala's 50% and 46%, respectively. Bencic secured six service breaks to Eala's two en route to the win.

Around the match

  • “I felt very frustrated in the first set, but I'm happy that I never gave up and I think that's the most important.”

    Bencic B.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “There was a huge mutual respect for the great match that we had. Super gracious and a lot of respect for Caty.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I feel like it can't be coincidental, I don't think. It's weird for me as well because I really hate playing lefties and it's just not comfortable, like the entire match you are uncomfortable, but maybe I feel like because I have good timing, I'm kind of able to switch.”

    Bencic B.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Eala A.Bencic B.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Eala A.Bencic B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
90
Break points saved·Dominant
12
84
Break points won·Clear edge
83
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·
—
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Eala A.43%
Bencic B.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bencic B.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1832
Surface ELO
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1989
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on hard
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Eala A.Bencic B.
Freshness·Clear edge
68
88

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw