Egor Agafonov vs Alec Deckers — Astana Q16
Astana · CHALLENGER · Q16
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
Agafonov E.6-7 5-7
Deckers A.
Agafonov E.
650
Deckers A.
772
Alec Deckers defeated Egor Agafonov 7-6, 7-5 in the Astana hard-court tournament's round of 16. The match was part of the qualifying draw. Deckers advanced with the win.
Key context
- Match story: Alec Deckers edged Egor Agafonov in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCAgafonov E.44%
Deckers A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
95
47
Agafonov E.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Deckers A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 34%